BACKGROUND: Endobronchial ultrasound-guided transbronchial needle injection of cisplatin (EBUS-TBNI cisplatin) is a therapeutic option for patients with recurrent lung cancer. However, the tumor characteristics that influence the distribution of the agent following intratumoral delivery remain largely unknown. METHODS: We performed a retrospective evaluation of EBUS-TBNI cisplatin cases performed at two centers. Semi-automated tumor segmentation from CT scans was performed while blinded to the outcome of response. Twenty-four algorithmic radiomics features from two categories, Morphology (i.e., shape, volume) and Intensity (i.e., density), were extracted, and feature selection performed via least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression. Models were constructed from clinicoepidemiologic variables and selected radiomics features and evaluated using the likelihood ratio chi-square assessment and Akaike's information criterion (AIC). RESULTS: Thirty-eight patients with available imaging data were analyzed. Based on RECIST criteria, 27 of 38 treated sites demonstrated complete or partial remission (71%). The top three features identified by LASSO regression were variance, energy, and kurtosis. All three are measures of intensity, a surrogate for tumor density. Two logistic regression models with the outcome of response were created, each with the top 3 categorical features: (I) an Intensity model including variance, energy, and kurtosis, and (II) a Morphology model including surface-to-volume ratio, spherical disproportion, and maximum 3-dimensional (3D) diameter. Only the Intensity model met criteria for significance (P=0.024), and it resulted in a lower AIC and higher pseudo R square value vs. the Morphology model. CONCLUSIONS: Measures of tumor density are more highly associated with response to EBUS-TBNI cisplatin than measures of morphology.

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES: We have developed a technique to measure ventilation heterogeneity (VH) on low dose chest CT scan that we hypothesize may be associated with the development of lung nodules, and perhaps cancer. If true, such an analysis may improve screening by identifying regional areas of higher risk. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Using the National Lung Screening Trial database, we identified a small subset of those participants who were labeled as having a positive screening test at 1 year (T1) but not at baseline (T0). We isolated the region in which the nodule would form on the T0 scan ("target region") and measured VH as the standard deviation of the linear dimension of a virtual cubic airspace based on measurement of lung attenuation within the region. RESULTS: We analyzed 24 cases, 9 with lung cancer and 15 with a benign nodule. We found that the VH of the target region was nearly statistically greater than that of the corresponding contralateral control region (0.168 [0.110-0.226] vs. 0.112 [0.083-0.203], p = 0.051). The % emphysema within the target region was greater than that of the corresponding contralateral control region (1.339 [0.264-4.367] vs. 1.092 [0.375-4.748], p = 0.037). There was a significant correlation between the % emphysema and the VH of the target region (rho = +0.437, p = 0.026). CONCLUSION: Our study provides the first data in support of increased local VH being associated with subsequent lung nodule formation. Further work is necessary to determine whether this technique can enhance screening for lung cancer by low dose chest CT scan.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a complex and heterogeneous disease that can benefit from novel approaches to understanding its evolution and divergent trajectories. Artificial intelligence (AI) has revolutionized how we can use clinical, imaging, and molecular data to understand and model complex systems. AI has shown impressive results in areas related to automated clinical decision making, radiological interpretation and prognostication. The unique nature of COPD and the accessibility to well-phenotyped populations result in an ideal scenario for AI development. This review provides an introduction to AI and deep learning and presents some recent successes in applying AI in COPD. Finally, we will discuss some of the opportunities, challenges, and limitations for AI applications in the context of COPD.

Rationale: Cor pulmonale (right ventricular [RV] dilation) and cor pulmonale parvus (RV shrinkage) are both described in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). The identification of emphysema as a shared risk factor suggests that additional disease characterization is needed to understand these widely divergent cardiac processes.Objectives: To explore the relationship between computed tomography measures of emphysema and distal pulmonary arterial morphology with RV volume, and their association with exercise capacity and mortality in ever-smokers with COPD enrolled in the COPDGene Study.Methods: Epicardial (myocardium and chamber) RV volume (RVEV), distal pulmonary arterial blood vessel volume (arterial BV5: vessels <5 mm2 in cross-section), and objective measures of emphysema were extracted from 3,506 COPDGene computed tomography scans. Multivariable linear and Cox regression models and the log-rank test were used to explore the association between emphysema, arterial BV5, and RVEV with exercise capacity (6-min-walk distance) and all-cause mortality.Measurements and Main Results: The RVEV was approximately 10% smaller in Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease stage 4 versus stage 1 COPD (P < 0.0001). In multivariable modeling, a 10-ml decrease in arterial BV5 (pruning) was associated with a 1-ml increase in RVEV. For a given amount of emphysema, relative preservation of the arterial BV5 was associated with a smaller RVEV. An increased RVEV was associated with reduced 6-minute-walk distance and in those with arterial pruning an increased mortality.Conclusions: Pulmonary arterial pruning is associated with clinically significant increases in RV volume in smokers with COPD and is related to exercise capacity and mortality in COPD.Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT00608764).

Acute exposure to cold dry air is a trigger of bronchoconstriction, but little is known about how daily outdoor temperature influences lung function.We investigated associations of temperature from a model using satellite remote sensing data with repeated measures of lung function among 5896 participants of the Framingham Heart Study Offspring and Third Generation cohorts residing in the Northeastern US. We further tested if temperature modified previously reported associations between pollution and lung function. We constructed linear mixed-effects models, and assessed departures from linearity using penalised splines.In fully adjusted linear models, 1-, 2- and 7-day average temperatures were all associated with lower lung function: each 5°C higher previous-week temperature was associated with a 20 mL lower (95% CI -34---6) forced expiratory volume in 1 s. There was significant effect modification by season: negative associations of temperature and lung function were present in winter and spring only. Negative associations between previous-day fine particulate matter and lung function were present during unseasonably warm but not unseasonably cool days, with a similar pattern for other pollutants.We speculate that temperature-related differences in lung function may be explained by behavioural changes on relatively warm days, which may increase outdoor exposures.

Lung vessel segmentation has been widely explored by the biomedical image processing community; however, the differentiation of arterial from venous irrigation is still a challenge. Pulmonary artery-vein (AV) segmentation using computed tomography (CT) is growing in importance owing to its undeniable utility in multiple cardiopulmonary pathological states, especially those implying vascular remodelling, allowing the study of both flow systems separately. We present a new framework to approach the separation of tree-like structures using local information and a specifically designed graph-cut methodology that ensures connectivity as well as the spatial and directional consistency of the derived subtrees. This framework has been applied to the pulmonary AV classification using a random forest (RF) pre-classifier to exploit the local anatomical differences of arteries and veins. The evaluation of the system was performed using 192 bronchopulmonary segment phantoms, 48 anthropomorphic pulmonary CT phantoms, and 26 lungs from noncontrast CT images with precise voxel-based reference standards obtained by manually labelling the vessel trees. The experiments reveal a relevant improvement in the accuracy ( ∼ 20%) of the vessel particle classification with the proposed framework with respect to using only the pre-classification based on local information applied to the whole area of the lung under study. The results demonstrated the accurate differentiation between arteries and veins in both clinical and synthetic cases, specifically when the image quality can guarantee a good airway segmentation, which opens a huge range of possibilities in the clinical study of cardiopulmonary diseases.

The Genetic Epidemiology of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPDGene) study, which began in 2007, is an ongoing multicenter observational cohort study of more than 10,000 current and former smokers. The study is aimed at understanding the etiology, progression, and heterogeneity of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). In addition to genetic analysis, the participants have been extensively characterized by clinical questionnaires, spirometry, volumetric inspiratory and expiratory computed tomography, and longitudinal follow-up, including follow-up computed tomography at 5 years after enrollment. The purpose of this state-of-the-art review is to summarize the major advances in our understanding of COPD resulting from the imaging findings in the COPDGene study. Imaging features that are associated with adverse clinical outcomes include early interstitial lung abnormalities, visual presence and pattern of emphysema, the ratio of pulmonary artery to ascending aortic diameter, quantitative evaluation of emphysema, airway wall thickness, and expiratory gas trapping. COPD is characterized by the early involvement of the small conducting airways, and the addition of expiratory scans has enabled measurement of small airway disease. Computational advances have enabled indirect measurement of nonemphysematous gas trapping. These metrics have provided insights into the pathogenesis and prognosis of COPD and have aided early identification of disease. Important quantifiable extrapulmonary findings include coronary artery calcification, cardiac morphology, intrathoracic and extrathoracic fat, and osteoporosis. Current active research includes identification of novel quantitative measures for emphysema and airway disease, evaluation of dose reduction techniques, and use of deep learning for phenotyping COPD.

Despite recent advances, the prognosis of pulmonary hypertension (PH) remains poor. While the initial insult in PH implicates the pulmonary vasculature, the functional state, exercise capacity, and survival of such patients are closely linked to right ventricular (RV) function. In the current study, we sought to investigate the effects of maximum incremental exercise on the matching of RV contractility and afterload (i.e. right ventricular-pulmonary arterial [RV-PA] coupling) in patients with exercise PH (ePH) and pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). End-systolic elastance (Ees), pulmonary arterial elastance (Ea), and RV-PA coupling (Ees/Ea) were determined using single-beat pressure-volume loop analysis in 40 patients that underwent maximum invasive cardiopulmonary exercise testing. Eleven patients had ePH, nine had PAH, and 20 were age-matched controls. During exercise, the impaired exertional contractile reserve in PAH was associated with blunted stroke volume index (SVI) augmentation and reduced peak oxygen consumption (peak VO2 %predicted). Compared to PAH, ePH demonstrated increased RV contractility in response to increasing RV afterload during exercise; however, this was insufficient and resulted in reduced peak RV-PA coupling. The dynamic RV-PA uncoupling in ePH was associated with similarly blunted SVI augmentation and peak VO2 as PAH. In conclusion, dynamic rest-to-peak exercise RV-PA uncoupling during maximum exercise blunts SV increase and reduces exercise capacity in exercise PH and PAH. In ePH, the insufficient increase in RV contractility to compensate for increasing RV afterload during maximum exercise leads to deterioration of RV-PA coupling. These data provide evidence that even in the early stages of PH, RV function is compromised.

BACKGROUND: Exercise stress testing of the pulmonary circulation may uncover decreased pulmonary vascular (PV) distensibility as a cause of impaired aerobic exercise capacity and right ventricular (RV)-pulmonary arterial (PA) uncoupling. As such, it may help in the differential diagnosis of unexplained dyspnea, including pulmonary hypertension (PH) and/or heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). We investigated rest and exercise invasive pulmonary hemodynamics, ventilation, and gas exchange in patients with unexplained dyspnea, including 44 patients with HFpEF (of whom 20 had a normal pulmonary vascular resistance [PVR] during exercise [ie, passive HFpEF] and 24 had a higher than normal exercise PVR), 22 patients with exercise PH, 19 patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), and 24 age- and sex-matched normal control subjects. METHODS: A PV distensibility coefficient α (%/mm Hg) was determined from multipoint PV pressure-flow plots. RV-PA coupling was quantified from the analysis of RV pressure curves to determine ratios of end-systolic to arterial elastances (Ees/Ea). Aerobic exercise capacity was estimated by peak oxygen consumption. RESULTS: The α coefficient decreased from 1.35 ± 0.58%/mm Hg in control subjects and 1.1 ± 0.48%/mm Hg in patients with passive HFpEF to 0.62 ± 0.32%/mm Hg in exercise PH, 0.54 ± 0.27%/mm Hg in HFpEF with high exercise PVR, and 0.18 ± 0.16%/mm Hg in PAH. On multivariate analysis, PV distensibility was associated with decreased Ees/Ea and maximal volume of oxygen consumed. CONCLUSIONS: PV distensibility is an early and sensitive hemodynamic marker of PV disease that is associated with RV-PA uncoupling and decreased aerobic exercise capacity.

BACKGROUND: Right ventricular (RV) dysfunction is associated with shortened life expectancy in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). The contribution of pulmonary vascular dysfunction to RV dysfunction in HFpEF is not well understood. METHODS: We investigated rest and exercise invasive pulmonary hemodynamics, ventilation, and gas exchange in 67 patients with HFpEF (of whom 28 had an abnormal pulmonary vascular response during exercise referred to as HFpEF+PVR group and 39 had a normal pulmonary vascular response during exercise referred to as HFpEF group) and in 21 matched control subjects. RESULTS: Both groups of patients with HFpEF had a markedly decreased peak oxygen consumption (Vo2), decreased oxygen delivery, and impaired chronotropic response. Single beat analysis of RV pressure waveforms was used to compute the end-systolic elastance (Ees) and pulmonary arterial elastance (Ea). Right ventricular-pulmonary artery (RV-PA) coupling was measured as the ratio of Ees/Ea. Exercise was associated with a preserved Ees response but a decreased Ees/Ea in patients with HFpEF with a normal PVR response, indicating partially preserved RV contractile reserve. In HFpEF+PVR, exercise-induced increase in Ees was markedly reduced, resulting in decreased Ees/Ea and RV-PA uncoupling. Patients with HFpEF+PVR with an exercise-induced decrease in Ees/Ea had lower pulmonary artery compliance, lower peak Vo2, and lower stroke volume than patients with HFpEF. CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that RV-PA uncoupling is common in HFpEF and is caused by both intrinsic RV contractile impairment and afterload mismatch. Resting and dynamic RV-PA uncoupling in HFpEF is driven by an increase in RV pulsatile rather than resistive afterload. However, with the additive effects of increased RV resistive afterload, RV-PA uncoupling worsens dynamically during exercise.

The Genetic Epidemiology of COPD (COPDGene) study is a noninterventional, multicenter, longitudinal analysis of > 10,000 subjects, including smokers with a ≥ 10 pack-year history with and without COPD and healthy never smokers. The goal was to characterize disease-related phenotypes and explore associations with susceptibility genes. The subjects were extensively phenotyped with the use of comprehensive symptom and comorbidity questionnaires, spirometry, CT scans of the chest, and genetic and biomarker profiling. The objective of this review was to summarize the major advances in the clinical epidemiology of COPD from the first 10 years of the COPDGene study. We highlight the influence of age, sex, and race on the natural history of COPD, and the impact of comorbid conditions, chronic bronchitis, exacerbations, and asthma/COPD overlap.

BACKGROUND: Ambient air pollution accelerates lung function decline among adults, however, there are limited data about its role in the development and progression of early stages of interstitial lung disease. AIMS: To evaluate associations of long-term exposure to traffic and ambient pollutants with odds of interstitial lung abnormalities (ILA) and progression of ILA on repeated imaging. METHODS: We ascertained ILA on chest CT obtained from 2618 Framingham participants from 2008 to 2011. Among 1846 participants who also completed a cardiac CT from 2002 to 2005, we determined interval ILA progression. We assigned distance from home address to major roadway, and the 5-year average of fine particulate matter (PM2.5), elemental carbon (EC, a traffic-related PM2.5 constituent) and ozone using spatio-temporal prediction models. Logistic regression models were adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, smoking status, packyears of smoking, household tobacco exposure, neighbourhood household value, primary occupation, cohort and date. RESULTS: Among 2618 participants with a chest CT, 176 (6.7%) had ILA, 1361 (52.0%) had no ILA, and the remainder were indeterminate. Among 1846 with a preceding cardiac CT, 118 (6.4%) had ILA with interval progression. In adjusted logistic regression models, an IQR difference in 5-year EC exposure of 0.14 µg/m3 was associated with a 1.27 (95% CI 1.04 to 1.55) times greater odds of ILA, and a 1.33 (95% CI 1.00 to 1.76) times greater odds of ILA progression. PM2.5 and O3 were not associated with ILA or ILA progression. CONCLUSIONS: Exposure to EC may increase risk of progressive ILA, however, associations with other measures of ambient pollution were inconclusive.

Rationale: Interstitial lung abnormalities (ILAs) are associated with the highest genetic risk locus for idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF); however, the extent to which there are unique associations among individuals with ILAs or additional overlap with IPF is not known.Objectives: To perform a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of ILAs.Methods: ILAs and a subpleural-predominant subtype were assessed on chest computed tomography (CT) scans in the AGES (Age Gene/Environment Susceptibility), COPDGene (Genetic Epidemiology of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease [COPD]), Framingham Heart, ECLIPSE (Evaluation of COPD Longitudinally to Identify Predictive Surrogate End-points), MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis), and SPIROMICS (Subpopulations and Intermediate Outcome Measures in COPD Study) studies. We performed a GWAS of ILAs in each cohort and combined the results using a meta-analysis. We assessed for overlapping associations in independent GWASs of IPF.Measurements and Main Results: Genome-wide genotyping data were available for 1,699 individuals with ILAs and 10,274 control subjects. The MUC5B (mucin 5B) promoter variant rs35705950 was significantly associated with both ILAs (P = 2.6 × 10-27) and subpleural ILAs (P = 1.6 × 10-29). We discovered novel genome-wide associations near IPO11 (rs6886640, P = 3.8 × 10-8) and FCF1P3 (rs73199442, P = 4.8 × 10-8) with ILAs, and near HTRE1 (rs7744971, P = 4.2 × 10-8) with subpleural-predominant ILAs. These novel associations were not associated with IPF. Among 12 previously reported IPF GWAS loci, five (DPP9, DSP, FAM13A, IVD, and MUC5B) were significantly associated (P < 0.05/12) with ILAs.Conclusions: In a GWAS of ILAs in six studies, we confirmed the association with a MUC5B promoter variant and found strong evidence for an effect of previously described IPF loci; however, novel ILA associations were not associated with IPF. These findings highlight common genetically driven biologic pathways between ILAs and IPF, and also suggest distinct ones.

Paraseptal emphysema (PSE) is a relatively unexplored emphysema subtype that is usually asymptomatic, but recently associated with interstitial lung abnormalities which are related with clinical outcomes, including mortality. Previous local-based methods for emphysema subtype quantification do not properly characterize PSE. This is in part for their inability to properly capture the global aspect of the disease, as some the PSE lesions can involved large regions along the chest wall. It is our assumption, that path-based approaches are not well-suited to identify this subtype and segmentation is a better paradigm. In this work we propose and introduce the Slice-Recovery network (SR-Net) that leverages 3D contextual information for 2D segmentation of PSE lesions in CT images. For that purpose, a novel convolutional network architecture is presented, which follows an encoding-decoding path that processes a 3D volume to generate a 2D segmentation map. The dataset used for training and testing the method comprised 664 images, coming from 111 CT scans. The results demonstrate the benefit of the proposed approach which incorporate 3D context information to the network and the ability of the proposed method to identify and segment PSE lesions with different sizes even in the presence of other emphysema subtypes in an advanced stage.

BACKGROUND: Previous attempts to explore the heterogeneity of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) clustered individual patients using clinical, demographic, and disease features. We developed continuous multidimensional disease axes based on radiographic and spirometric variables that split into an airway-predominant axis and an emphysema-predominant axis. METHODS: The COPD Genetic Epidemiology study (COPDGene®) is a cohort of current and former smokers, > 45 years, with at least 10 pack years of smoking history. Spirometry measures, blood pressure and body mass were directly measured. Mortality was assessed through continuing longitudinal follow-up and cause of death was adjudicated. Among 8157 COPDGene® participants with complete spirometry and computed tomography (CT) measures, the top 2 deciles of the airway-predominant and emphysema-predominant axes previously identified were used to categorize individuals into 3 groups having the highest risk for mortality using Cox proportional hazard ratios. These groups were also assessed for causal mortality. Biomarkers of COPD (fibrinogen, soluble receptor for advanced glycation end products [sRAGE], C-reactive protein [CRP], clara cell secretory protein [CC16], surfactant-D [SP-D]) were compared by group. FINDINGS: High-risk subtype classification was defined for 2638 COPDGene® participants who were in the highest 2 deciles of either the airway-predominant and/or emphysema-predominant axis (32% of the cohort). These high-risk participants fell into 3 groups: airway-predominant disease only (APD-only), emphysema-predominant disease only (EPD-only) and combined APD-EPD. There was 26% mortality for the APD-only group, 21% mortality for the EPD-only group, and 54% mortality for the combined APD-EPD group. The APD-only group (n=1007) was younger, had a lower forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) percent (%) predicted and a strong association with the preserved ratio-impaired spirometry (PRISm) quadrant. The EPD-only group (n=1006) showed a relatively higher FEV1 % predicted and included largely GOLD stage 0, 1 and 2 partipants. Individuals in each of the 3 high-risk groups were at greater risk for respiratory mortality, while those in the APD-only group were additionally at greater risk for cardiovascular mortality. Biomarker analysis demonstrated a significant association of the APD-only group with CRP, and sRAGE demonstrated greatest significance with both the EPD-only and the combined APD-EPD groups. INTERPRETATION: Among current and former smokers, individuals in the highest 2 deciles for mortality risk on the airway-predominant axis and the emphysema-predominant axis have unique associations to spirometric patterns, different imaging characteristics, biomarkers and causal mortality.

BACKGROUND: We previously reported that wall area percent (WAP), a quantitative CT (QCT) indicator of airway wall thickness and, presumably, inflammation, is associated with adverse longitudinal expiratory flow trajectories in WTC workers, but that obesity and weight gain also seemed to be independently predictive of the latter. Previous studies have reported no association between WAP and obesity, so we investigated that association in nonsmoking WTC-exposed individuals and healthy unexposed controls. METHODS: We assessed WAP using the Chest Imaging Platform QCT system in a segmental bronchus in 118 former WTC workers, and 89 COPDGene® WTC-unexposed and asymptomatic subjects. We used multiple regression to model WAP vs. body mass index (BMI) in the two groups, adjusting for important subject and CT image characteristics. RESULTS: Unadjusted analyses revealed significant differences between the two groups with regards to WAP, age, gender, scan pixel spacing and slice interval, but not BMI or total lung capacity. In adjusted analysis, there was a significant interaction between BMI and WTC exposure on WAP. BMI was significantly and positively associated with WAP in the WTC group, but not in the COPDGene® group, but stratified analyses revealed that the effect was significant in WTC subjects with clinical evidence of lower airway disease (LAD). DISCUSSION: Unlike non-diseased subjects, BMI was significantly associated with WAP in WTC workers and, in stratified analyses, the association was significant only among those with LAD. Our findings suggest that this adverse effect of obesity on airway structure and inflammation may be confined to already diseased individuals.

In the last two decades, several methods for airway segmentation from chest CT images have been proposed. The following natural step is the development of a tool to accurately assess the morphology of the bronchial system in all its aspects to help physicians better diagnosis and prognosis complex pulmonary diseases such as COPD, chronic bronchitis and bronchiectasis. Traditional methods for the assessment of airway morphology usually focus on lumen and wall thickness and are often limited due to resolution and artifacts of the CT image. Airway wall cartilage is an important characteristic related to airway integrity that has shown to be deteriorated during the airway disease process. In this paper, we propose the development of a Model-Based GAN Regressor (MBGR) that, thanks to a model-based GAN generator, generate synthetic airway samples with the morphological components necessary to resemble the appearance of real airways on CT at will and that simultaneously measures lumen, wall thickness, and amount of cartilage on pulmonary CT images. The method is evaluated by first computing the relative error on generated images to show that simulating the cartilage helps improve the morphological quantification of the airway structure. We then propose a cartilage index that summarizes the degree of cartilage of bronchial trees structures and perform an indirect validation with subjects with COPD. As shown by the results, the proposed approach paves the way for the use of CNNs to precisely and accurately measure small lung airways morphology, with the final goal to improve the diagnosis and prognosis of pulmonary diseases.

BACKGROUND: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) remains a major cause of morbidity and mortality. Present-day diagnostic criteria are largely based solely on spirometric criteria. Accumulating evidence has identified a substantial number of individuals without spirometric evidence of COPD who suffer from respiratory symptoms and/or increased morbidity and mortality. There is a clear need for an expanded definition of COPD that is linked to physiologic, structural (computed tomography [CT]) and clinical evidence of disease. Using data from the COPD Genetic Epidemiology study (COPDGene®), we hypothesized that an integrated approach that includes environmental exposure, clinical symptoms, chest CT imaging and spirometry better defines disease and captures the likelihood of progression of respiratory obstruction and mortality. METHODS: Four key disease characteristics - environmental exposure (cigarette smoking), clinical symptoms (dyspnea and/or chronic bronchitis), chest CT imaging abnormalities (emphysema, gas trapping and/or airway wall thickening), and abnormal spirometry - were evaluated in a group of 8784 current and former smokers who were participants in COPDGene® Phase 1. Using these 4 disease characteristics, 8 categories of participants were identified and evaluated for odds of spirometric disease progression (FEV1 > 350 ml loss over 5 years), and the hazard ratio for all-cause mortality was examined. RESULTS: Using smokers without symptoms, CT imaging abnormalities or airflow obstruction as the reference population, individuals were classified as Possible COPD, Probable COPD and Definite COPD. Current Global initiative for obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) criteria would diagnose 4062 (46%) of the 8784 study participants with COPD. The proposed COPDGene® 2019 diagnostic criteria would add an additional 3144 participants. Under the new criteria, 82% of the 8784 study participants would be diagnosed with Possible, Probable or Definite COPD. These COPD groups showed increased risk of disease progression and mortality. Mortality increased in patients as the number of their COPD characteristics increased, with a maximum hazard ratio for all cause-mortality of 5.18 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.15-6.48) in those with all 4 disease characteristics. CONCLUSIONS: A substantial portion of smokers with respiratory symptoms and imaging abnormalities do not manifest spirometric obstruction as defined by population normals. These individuals are at significant risk of death and spirometric disease progression. We propose to redefine the diagnosis of COPD through an integrated approach using environmental exposure, clinical symptoms, CT imaging and spirometric criteria. These expanded criteria offer the potential to stimulate both current and future interventions that could slow or halt disease progression in patients before disability or irreversible lung structural changes develop.